Portugal flag

Portugal - 2026 FIFA World Cup

Group K
FIFA Rank
#6
FIFA Points
1760
Strength Index
79
Group Seed
#1

Portugal Team Pulse

These cards use the live team data already shipped in the simulator.

Strength Index
79/100

Current simulator strength index built from the rating model in use on the site.

Group Seed
#1/4

Portugal starts Group K as the top FIFA-point team.

Edge to Chaser
59 pts

Gap over the next-highest FIFA-point team in the group.

Next Test
Portugal vs DR Congo

Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · Houston

Match Probability Board

Each split below is produced by the same match-probability code used by the simulator.

Matchday 1

Portugal vs DR Congo

Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Loss 12%
Rating edge: +292 NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 2

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

Jun 23, 2026 - 17:00 UTC
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Loss 12%
Rating edge: +298 NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 3

Portugal vs Colombia

Jun 27, 2026 - 23:30 UTC
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Loss 32%
Rating edge: +59 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami

Scenario Lab

Open the simulator with real group states already encoded into the link.

Share-ready preset

Fast Start

  • Portugal 2-0 DR Congo
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
Open in Simulator
Share-ready preset

Reset After a Setback

  • Portugal 0-1 DR Congo
  • Portugal 2-1 Uzbekistan
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
  • Colombia 0-0 DR Congo
Open in Simulator
Share-ready preset

Seven-Point Route

  • Portugal 2-0 DR Congo
  • Portugal 1-1 Uzbekistan
  • Colombia 1-0 Portugal
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
  • Colombia 0-0 DR Congo
  • DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan
Open in Simulator

Group K Schedule

Matchday 1 Home
Portugal Portugal vs DR Congo DR Congo
Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 2 Home
Portugal Portugal vs Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
Jun 23, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 3 Away
Colombia Colombia vs Portugal Portugal
Jun 27, 2026 - 23:30 UTC · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami

Group K Teams

DR Congo DR Congo #48 Uzbekistan Uzbekistan #52 Colombia Colombia #14

Story Layer Inside the Simulator

These product hooks already exist in the main simulator and now connect directly from the team page.

Narrative recap

The current build already surfaces the biggest upset, surprise run, and favorite elimination from the active state.

Seeded reruns

Shared simulator links can preserve a simulation seed so the same run can be replayed and compared.

Chaos + sharing

The guided UI already exposes a Chaos Meter and share-story actions once a scenario is opened.

Simulate Portugal's Path to the Title

Run thousands of Monte Carlo simulations and see how often Portugal wins the 2026 World Cup.

Launch Simulator

Portugal Win Odds for WC 2026

See Portugal's win probability compared to all 48 qualified teams, calculated by Monte Carlo simulation.

View Win Odds