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Portugal - 2026 FIFA World Cup

Group K
FIFA Rank
#6
FIFA Points
1760
Strength Index
79
Group Seed
#1

Portugal Team Pulse

These cards use the live team data already shipped in the simulator.

Strength Index
79/100

Current simulator strength index built from the rating model in use on the site.

Group Seed
#1/4

Portugal starts Group K as the top FIFA-point team.

Edge to Chaser
59 pts

Gap over the next-highest FIFA-point team in the group.

Next Test
Portugal vs DR Congo

Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · Houston

Match Probability Board

Each split below is produced by the same match-probability code used by the simulator.

Matchday 1

Portugal vs DR Congo

Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Loss 12%
Rating edge: +292 NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 2

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

Jun 23, 2026 - 17:00 UTC
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Loss 12%
Rating edge: +298 NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 3

Portugal vs Colombia

Jun 27, 2026 - 23:30 UTC
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Loss 32%
Rating edge: +59 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami

Scenario Lab

Open the simulator with real group states already encoded into the link.

Share-ready preset

Fast Start

  • Portugal 2-0 DR Congo
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
Open in Simulator
Share-ready preset

Reset After a Setback

  • Portugal 0-1 DR Congo
  • Portugal 2-1 Uzbekistan
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
  • Colombia 0-0 DR Congo
Open in Simulator
Share-ready preset

Seven-Point Route

  • Portugal 2-0 DR Congo
  • Portugal 1-1 Uzbekistan
  • Colombia 1-0 Portugal
  • Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia
  • Colombia 0-0 DR Congo
  • DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan
Open in Simulator

Group K Schedule

Matchday 1 Home
Portugal Portugal vs DR Congo DR Congo
Jun 17, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 2 Home
Portugal Portugal vs Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
Jun 23, 2026 - 17:00 UTC · NRG Stadium, Houston
Matchday 3 Away
Colombia Colombia vs Portugal Portugal
Jun 27, 2026 - 23:30 UTC · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami

Group K Teams

DR Congo DR Congo #48 Uzbekistan Uzbekistan #52 Colombia Colombia #14

Simulate Portugal's Path to the Title

Run thousands of Monte Carlo simulations and see how often Portugal wins the 2026 World Cup.

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Portugal Win Odds for WC 2026

See Portugal's win probability compared to all 48 qualified teams, calculated by Monte Carlo simulation.

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