Run the full 48-team tournament with groups, bracket and Monte Carlo win odds. Free, instant, no sign-up.
Simulate all 12 groups, the round of 32, quarterfinals, semifinals and the final — using the official 2026 FIFA format.
Run 10,000 simulations to see win probabilities for every team, based on the latest FIFA rankings.
Edit team strengths, share your simulation results and compare outcomes. Free and fully interactive.
Create a private pool, invite friends and rank everyone's World Cup picks. Start a pool →
Watch teams compete as animated bubbles. An interactive, visual take on WC2026 probabilities. Try it →
Pre-calculated Monte Carlo baseline from the same tournament engine. Use it as a quick probability snapshot before opening the full odds table.
| # | Team | Win | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | ~19% | ~32% |
| 2 |  Spain | ~18% | ~31% |
| 3 |  Argentina | ~14% | ~26% |
| 4 |  England | ~9% | ~18% |
| 5 |  Brazil | ~7% | ~15% |
| 6 |  Portugal | ~6% | ~13% |
| 7 |  Netherlands | ~4% | ~10% |
| 8 |  Germany | ~4% | ~9% |
| 9 |  United States | ~2% | ~5% |
| 10 |  Morocco | ~2% | ~5% |
From the group stage draw to the final whistle — everything in the 2026 FIFA World Cup format.
Ready to run your own World Cup simulation?
Simulate the full 48-team tournament, test your own scenarios and get live Monte Carlo win probabilities. Free, instant, no sign-up.
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