France vs Spain World Cup 2026 team comparison
France vs Spain World Cup 2026 with Brazil included. Run a fresh Monte Carlo tournament sample and compare each team's path through the 48-team format.
Monte Carlo and team stats
Probabilities update after each run; ranking stats come from the same data source as the simulator.
Neutral-site matchups
These are 90-minute win/draw/win probabilities from the live match model.
How to read this comparison
The Monte Carlo columns simulate the full 48-team tournament, including group stage, best third-placed teams, knockout bracket, extra time and penalties. A team's World Cup win probability is how often it wins the tournament in the selected number of valid simulated runs.
The matchup board is narrower: it compares two teams in a neutral single match using FIFA ranking-derived ratings. Use both views together: one measures tournament path, the other measures direct head-to-head strength.